Bragantino 1-2 Palmeiras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 19 May 2025

Bragantino
1-2 HT 1-0
Palmeiras
📅19/05/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Bragantino vs Palmeiras Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
4.78
6+ Goals
8%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
6.0
1/2
5%
30.0
1/X
10%
14.65
X/1
8%
7.37
X/2
14%
4.65
X/X
14%
3.97
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
20%
2.95
2/X
6%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+3.5pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.6pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bragantino v Palmeiras — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bragantino EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Palmeiras EU Bookmakers 49%
+10% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.29/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.12
+26% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
309 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 80%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
17.1 Crosses 21.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Bragantino vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bragantino
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Palmeiras
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.34 xG 1.79
50% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
320 Passes 307
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.10.2024 Bragantino 0-0 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
21.06.2024 Palmeiras Palmeiras 2-1 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1
02.10.2023 Bragantino 2-1 HT 0-1 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
14.05.2023 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-1 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR1
04.09.2022 Bragantino 2-2 HT 2-1 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
14.05.2022 Palmeiras Palmeiras 2-0 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1

Bragantino 1-2 Palmeiras — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bragantino
1-2
AWAY Palmeiras
0.36 xG 0.74
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 12
275 Passes 262
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bragantino vs Palmeiras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palmeiras edged past Bragantino 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (30% / 31% / 39%) promised a tight game; Palmeiras found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Bragantino had 49% of the ball to Palmeiras's 51%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.36 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bragantino and 1.33 for Palmeiras.

What was the final score of Bragantino vs Palmeiras?

Bragantino 1-2 Palmeiras in the Brazil - Serie A on 19/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bragantino vs Palmeiras?

Before kick-off our model rated an Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bragantino 30%, draw 31%, Palmeiras 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Palmeiras) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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