Bragantino 0-0 Palmeiras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 5 Oct 2024

Bragantino
0-0 HT 0-0
Palmeiras
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Bragantino vs Palmeiras Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.69
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
50%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.12
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.76
6+ Goals
10%
16.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 31% vs market 26.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.37
1/2
6%
24.85
1/X
6%
14.7
X/1
10%
8.17
X/2
18%
4.16
X/X
11%
4.63
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.48
2/X
9%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
24%
+1.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
50%
Away Win
51%
-1.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.2pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bragantino v Palmeiras — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bragantino EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Palmeiras EU Bookmakers 55%
+10% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +18%
1.33/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.91
+53% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +115%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 84%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
20.1 Crosses 21.1
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Bragantino vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bragantino
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Palmeiras
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.44 xG 1.87
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 9
332 Passes 275
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.06.2024 Palmeiras Palmeiras 2-1 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1
02.10.2023 Bragantino 2-1 HT 0-1 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
14.05.2023 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-1 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR1
04.09.2022 Bragantino 2-2 HT 2-1 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
14.05.2022 Palmeiras Palmeiras 2-0 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1
27.03.2022 Palmeiras Palmeiras 2-1 HT 2-1 Bragantino BREPAU

Bragantino 0-0 Palmeiras — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bragantino
0-0
AWAY Palmeiras
0.84 xG 1.41
41% Ball Possession 59%
17 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
260 Passes 432
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bragantino vs Palmeiras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bragantino and Palmeiras played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Palmeiras at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Bragantino had 41% of the ball to Palmeiras's 59%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 0.84 to 1.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bragantino and 1.67 for Palmeiras.

What was the final score of Bragantino vs Palmeiras?

Bragantino 0-0 Palmeiras in the Brazil - Serie A on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bragantino vs Palmeiras?

Before kick-off our model rated an Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Bragantino 25%, draw 25%, Palmeiras 50%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Palmeiras) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Palmeiras) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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