Palmeiras vs Bragantino Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Palmeiras v Bragantino — Team-Based Signals
Palmeiras vs Bragantino Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Palmeiras
BR1
1-1
HT 0-0
Bragantino
BR1
Palmeiras
BR1
2-0
HT 1-0
Bragantino
BR1
2-1
HT 2-1
Bragantino
BREPAU
Palmeiras
BREPAU
Palmeiras 2-1 Bragantino — Actual Match Statistics
Palmeiras nicked a narrow win over Bragantino 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Palmeiras as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Palmeiras had 41% of the ball to Bragantino's 59%, shots finished 24-13, expected goals 3.16 to 1.40 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Palmeiras's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Palmeiras and 1.17 for Bragantino.
What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Bragantino?
Palmeiras 2-1 Bragantino in the Brazil - Serie A on 21/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Bragantino?
Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 49%, draw 27%, Bragantino 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.