MC Alger 4-1 ES Setif — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 19 May 2025

MC Alger
4-1 HT 1-0
ES Setif
📅19/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Algeria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

MC Alger vs ES Setif Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.49
Draw
33%
3.72
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.56
Over 2.5
33%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.51
No
65%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.31
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
12%
4.76
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.31 — our 38% vs market 35.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
63%
-16.9pp
33%
Draw
24%
+9.4pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.5pp
67%
Under 2.5
60%
+6.3pp
33%
Over 2.5
40%
-6.3pp
35%
BTTS Yes
36%
-0.5pp
65%
BTTS No
64%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

MC Alger v ES Setif — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MC Alger EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Setif EU Bookmakers 16%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +13%
1.75/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.24
+19% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +25%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
369 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6

MC Alger vs ES Setif Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MC Alger
3W-1D-2L
AWAY ES Setif
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.03.2024 ES Setif ES Setif 1-0 HT 1-0 MC Alger MC Alger CZYR
06.10.2023 MC Alger MC Alger 5-3 HT 2-2 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
10.07.2023 ES Setif ES Setif 1-1 HT 0-1 MC Alger MC Alger CZYR
11.12.2022 MC Alger MC Alger 1-0 HT 1-0 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
13.04.2022 ES Setif ES Setif 2-1 HT 1-0 MC Alger MC Alger CZYR
17.12.2021 MC Alger MC Alger 2-0 HT 0-0 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
POST-MATCH MC Alger vs ES Setif
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MC Alger cruised past ES Setif 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had MC Alger as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MC Alger had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for MC Alger and 1.17 for ES Setif.

What was the final score of MC Alger vs ES Setif?

MC Alger 4-1 ES Setif in the Algeria - 1st Division on 19/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MC Alger vs ES Setif?

Before kick-off our model rated a MC Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split MC Alger 46%, draw 33%, ES Setif 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MC Alger) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (MC Alger) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CZYR More Algeria - 1st Division
19 May 2025
19:00 ASO Chlef vs Belouizdad Analysis →