Neftekhimik 0-2 Chernomorets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 19 May 2025

📅19/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
51%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.16
No
65%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
24%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
24%
+1.1pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.5pp
52%
Away Win
48%
+3.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.1pp
35%
BTTS Yes
42%
-7.1pp
65%
BTTS No
58%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neftekhimik EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 52%
+3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
1.11/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.50
+11% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +59%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neftekhimik
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Chernomorets
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.10.2024 Chernomorets Chernomorets 0-0 HT 0-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
26.11.2023 Chernomorets Chernomorets 0-1 HT 0-1 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
06.08.2023 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 1-1 HT 0-1 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neftekhimik
0-2
AWAY Chernomorets
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Neftekhimik vs Chernomorets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chernomorets beat Neftekhimik 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chernomorets as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.

On the day, Neftekhimik had 43% of the ball to Chernomorets's 57%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Neftekhimik had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Neftekhimik and 0.33 for Chernomorets.

What was the final score of Neftekhimik vs Chernomorets?

Neftekhimik 0-2 Chernomorets in the Russia - FNL on 19/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neftekhimik vs Chernomorets?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chernomorets win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Neftekhimik 25%, draw 24%, Chernomorets 52%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chernomorets), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chernomorets) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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