KAMAZ 1-1 Alaniya Vladikavkaz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 19 May 2025

📅19/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
59%
-4.4pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.6pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.5pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KAMAZ EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Alaniya Vladikavkaz EU Bookmakers 21%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.25
+82% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +22%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
353 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KAMAZ
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2024 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 0-2 HT 0-2 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
12.11.2023 KAMAZ KAMAZ 1-1 HT 0-0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
31.07.2023 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz 2-0 HT 2-0 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
02.04.2023 KAMAZ KAMAZ 1-0 HT 0-0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
10.07.2021 KAMAZ KAMAZ 1-1 HT 0-0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KAMAZ
1-1
AWAY Alaniya Vladikavkaz
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH KAMAZ vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KAMAZ and Alaniya Vladikavkaz shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had KAMAZ at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KAMAZ had 54% of the ball to Alaniya Vladikavkaz's 46%, shots finished 10-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, KAMAZ had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for KAMAZ and 0.80 for Alaniya Vladikavkaz.

What was the final score of KAMAZ vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz?

KAMAZ 1-1 Alaniya Vladikavkaz in the Russia - FNL on 19/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KAMAZ vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz?

Before kick-off our model rated a KAMAZ win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split KAMAZ 55%, draw 22%, Alaniya Vladikavkaz 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (KAMAZ), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KAMAZ) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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