Lexington 0-2 FC Tulsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 19 May 2025

Lexington
0-2 HT 0-1
FC Tulsa
📅19/05/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
USL Championship – 2025

Lexington vs FC Tulsa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.13
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.47
6+ Goals
8%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 33% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.6pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lexington v FC Tulsa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lexington EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tulsa EU Bookmakers 31%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +15%
0.98/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.46
-33% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
17.5 Crosses 14.4
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Lexington 0-2 FC Tulsa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lexington
0-2
AWAY FC Tulsa
0.10 xG 2.66
65% Ball Possession 35%
2 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
401 Passes 165
86% Pass Accuracy 66%
9 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lexington vs FC Tulsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Tulsa beat Lexington 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lexington at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lexington had 65% of the ball to FC Tulsa's 35%, shots finished 2-11, expected goals 0.10 to 2.66.

What was the final score of Lexington vs FC Tulsa?

Lexington 0-2 FC Tulsa in the USL Championship on 19/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lexington vs FC Tulsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lexington win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lexington 45%, draw 25%, FC Tulsa 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lexington) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lexington) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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