Birmingham Legion 1-1 Detroit City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 19 May 2025

Birmingham Legion
1-1 HT 0-0
Detroit City
📅19/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
USL Championship – 2025

Birmingham Legion vs Detroit City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.86
Over 2.5
39%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.7
No
60%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
3.17
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
3.44
6+ Goals
8%
13.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 36% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
39%
-5.9pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
50%
+10.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
50%
-10.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
55%
-15.3pp
60%
BTTS No
45%
+15.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Birmingham Legion v Detroit City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham Legion EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Detroit City EU Bookmakers 37%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.27/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.97
-6% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +106%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
14.9 Crosses 19.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Birmingham Legion vs Detroit City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birmingham Legion
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Detroit City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.20 xG 0.97
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
372 Passes 278
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.03.2025 Detroit City Detroit City 2-2 HT 2-1 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
17.08.2024 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 0-1 HT 0-1 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
27.06.2024 Detroit City Detroit City 1-2 HT 1-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
28.08.2023 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 2-3 HT 2-3 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
27.05.2023 Detroit City Detroit City 1-0 HT 1-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
18.08.2022 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 1-2 HT 0-0 Detroit City Detroit City USLP

Birmingham Legion 1-1 Detroit City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birmingham Legion
1-1
AWAY Detroit City
2.30 xG 0.36
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
295 Passes 267
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Birmingham Legion vs Detroit City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birmingham Legion and Detroit City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Birmingham Legion had 52% of the ball to Detroit City's 48%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 2.30 to 0.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Detroit City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Birmingham Legion and 1.67 for Detroit City.

What was the final score of Birmingham Legion vs Detroit City?

Birmingham Legion 1-1 Detroit City in the USL Championship on 19/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham Legion vs Detroit City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Detroit City win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Birmingham Legion 33%, draw 30%, Detroit City 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Detroit City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Detroit City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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