Detroit City 2-2 Birmingham Legion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.84
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.68
6+ Goals
8%
16.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 30% vs market 27.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Detroit City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Birmingham Legion EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +11%
1.32/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.42
-25% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
328 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 73%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
20.2 Crosses 14.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Detroit City
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Birmingham Legion
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.85 xG 1.51
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
261 Passes 378
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 0-1 HT 0-1 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
27.06.2024 Detroit City Detroit City 1-2 HT 1-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
28.08.2023 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 2-3 HT 2-3 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
27.05.2023 Detroit City Detroit City 1-0 HT 1-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
18.08.2022 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 1-2 HT 0-0 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
16.04.2022 Detroit City Detroit City 1-0 HT 0-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Detroit City
2-2
AWAY Birmingham Legion
1.54 xG 0.29
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 6
352 Passes 226
78% Pass Accuracy 69%
13 Box Touches 6
11 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Detroit City vs Birmingham Legion
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Detroit City and Birmingham Legion shared the points in a 2-2 draw in the USL Championship on 22 Mar 2025. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 43% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Detroit City had 57% of the ball to Birmingham Legion's 43%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 1.54 to 0.29.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Detroit City have the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Detroit City and 0.83 for Birmingham Legion.

What was the final score of Detroit City vs Birmingham Legion?

Detroit City 2-2 Birmingham Legion in the USL Championship on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Detroit City vs Birmingham Legion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Detroit City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Detroit City 45%, draw 25%, Birmingham Legion 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Detroit City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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