Louisville City 2-0 Loudoun United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 22 Mar 2025

Louisville City
2-0 HT 1-0
Loudoun United
📅22/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
USL Championship – 2025

Louisville City vs Loudoun United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.76
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
2.96
6+ Goals
10%
9.46
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 26% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.6pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.4pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Louisville City v Loudoun United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Louisville City EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Loudoun United EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +13%
1.89/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.67
+28% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
23.3 Crosses 12.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Louisville City vs Loudoun United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Louisville City
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Loudoun United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.88 xG 0.41
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
338 Passes 338
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.09.2024 Louisville City Louisville City 1-0 HT 0-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
20.04.2024 Loudoun United Loudoun United 0-1 HT 0-0 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
24.09.2023 Loudoun United Loudoun United 1-2 HT 1-0 Louisville City Louisville City USLP
09.07.2023 Louisville City Louisville City 1-0 HT 0-0 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
18.09.2022 Louisville City Louisville City 4-2 HT 3-1 Loudoun United Loudoun United USLP
10.04.2022 Loudoun United Loudoun United 0-2 HT 0-1 Louisville City Louisville City USLP

Louisville City 2-0 Loudoun United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Louisville City
2-0
AWAY Loudoun United
2.92 xG 1.10
40% Ball Possession 60%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
237 Passes 412
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
37 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Louisville City vs Loudoun United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Louisville City got the better of Loudoun United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Louisville City as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Louisville City had 40% of the ball to Loudoun United's 60%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 2.92 to 1.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Louisville City had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Louisville City and 0.50 for Loudoun United.

What was the final score of Louisville City vs Loudoun United?

Louisville City 2-0 Loudoun United in the USL Championship on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Louisville City vs Loudoun United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Louisville City 48%, draw 26%, Loudoun United 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Louisville City) ✗ Over 2.5
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