Loudoun United vs Louisville City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Loudoun United v Louisville City — Team-Based Signals
Loudoun United vs Louisville City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Louisville City
USLP
1-0
HT 0-0
Loudoun United
USLP
4-2
HT 3-1
Loudoun United
USLP
0-2
HT 0-1
Louisville City
USLP
2-0
HT 1-0
Loudoun United
USLP
3-0
HT 1-0
Louisville City
USLP
Loudoun United 0-1 Louisville City — Actual Match Statistics
Louisville City squeezed past Loudoun United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Louisville City as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Loudoun United had 46% of the ball to Louisville City's 54%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.67 to 0.83.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Louisville City led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Loudoun United and 1.83 for Louisville City.
What was the final score of Loudoun United vs Louisville City?
Loudoun United 0-1 Louisville City in the USL Championship on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Loudoun United vs Louisville City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Loudoun United 28%, draw 24%, Louisville City 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.