Detroit City 3-1 Oakland Roots — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.76
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.23
6+ Goals
8%
20.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 34% vs market 30.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-7.0pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.5pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.3pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Detroit City EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Oakland Roots EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +25%
1.38/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.35
-37% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
18.9 Crosses 14.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Detroit City
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Oakland Roots
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.22 xG 0.89
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
344 Passes 302
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
30.07.2023 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 1-1 HT 1-1 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
14.08.2022 Detroit City Detroit City 1-1 HT 0-0 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Detroit City
3-1
AWAY Oakland Roots
2.11 xG 0.86
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
339 Passes 315
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Detroit City vs Oakland Roots
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Detroit City got the better of Oakland Roots 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Detroit City as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Detroit City had 50% of the ball to Oakland Roots's 50%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 2.11 to 0.86.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Detroit City and 1.00 for Oakland Roots.

What was the final score of Detroit City vs Oakland Roots?

Detroit City 3-1 Oakland Roots in the USL Championship on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Detroit City vs Oakland Roots?

Before kick-off our model rated a Detroit City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Detroit City 44%, draw 30%, Oakland Roots 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Detroit City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Detroit City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USLP More USL Championship
20 Apr 2024
23:00 Loudoun United vs Louisville City Analysis →