Louisville City vs Loudoun United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Louisville City v Loudoun United — Team-Based Signals
Louisville City vs Loudoun United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Louisville City
USLP
1-0
HT 0-0
Loudoun United
USLP
4-2
HT 3-1
Loudoun United
USLP
0-2
HT 0-1
Louisville City
USLP
2-0
HT 1-0
Loudoun United
USLP
Louisville City 1-0 Loudoun United — Actual Match Statistics
Louisville City squeezed past Loudoun United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Louisville City as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Louisville City had 46% of the ball to Loudoun United's 54%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 1.30 to 0.21.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Louisville City had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Louisville City and 0.50 for Loudoun United.
What was the final score of Louisville City vs Loudoun United?
Louisville City 1-0 Loudoun United in the USL Championship on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Louisville City vs Loudoun United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Louisville City 53%, draw 23%, Loudoun United 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.