New Mexico United vs Miami FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New Mexico United v Miami FC — Team-Based Signals
New Mexico United vs Miami FC Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
New Mexico United
USLP
0-3
HT 0-1
Miami FC
USLP
New Mexico United 1-0 Miami FC — Actual Match Statistics
New Mexico United edged past Miami FC 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had New Mexico United as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, New Mexico United had 63% of the ball to Miami FC's 37%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.67 to 0.30 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold New Mexico United's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for New Mexico United and 1.50 for Miami FC.
What was the final score of New Mexico United vs Miami FC?
New Mexico United 1-0 Miami FC in the USL Championship on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New Mexico United vs Miami FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 68%, draw 17%, Miami FC 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New Mexico United) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.