Phoenix Rising vs FC Tulsa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Phoenix Rising v FC Tulsa — Team-Based Signals
Phoenix Rising vs FC Tulsa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Phoenix Rising 1-0 FC Tulsa — Actual Match Statistics
Phoenix Rising edged past FC Tulsa 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Phoenix Rising as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 50% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring.
On the day, Phoenix Rising had 62% of the ball to FC Tulsa's 38%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.86 to 0.56 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Phoenix Rising's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Phoenix Rising had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Phoenix Rising and 0.67 for FC Tulsa.
Phoenix Rising vs FC Tulsa Result & Final Score
Phoenix Rising 1 - 0 FC Tulsa in the USL Championship on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Phoenix Rising vs FC Tulsa Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Phoenix Rising win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Phoenix Rising 61%, draw 23%, FC Tulsa 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Phoenix Rising) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.