Phoenix Rising vs FC Tulsa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Phoenix Rising v FC Tulsa — Team-Based Signals
Phoenix Rising vs FC Tulsa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
0-1
HT 0-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
5-0
HT 3-0
FC Tulsa
USLP
3-0
HT 2-0
FC Tulsa
USLP
1-5
HT 1-1
Phoenix Rising
USLP
Phoenix Rising 1-0 FC Tulsa — Actual Match Statistics
Phoenix Rising edged past FC Tulsa 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Phoenix Rising as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.
On the day, Phoenix Rising had 62% of the ball to FC Tulsa's 38%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.86 to 0.56 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Phoenix Rising's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Phoenix Rising had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Phoenix Rising and 0.67 for FC Tulsa.
What was the final score of Phoenix Rising vs FC Tulsa?
Phoenix Rising 1-0 FC Tulsa in the USL Championship on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Phoenix Rising vs FC Tulsa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Phoenix Rising win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Phoenix Rising 55%, draw 23%, FC Tulsa 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Phoenix Rising), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.