Westerlo 1-2 Standard Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 19 May 2026

📅19/05/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.49
No
38%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.69
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
2.7
6+ Goals
12%
7.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.55
1/2
9%
30.5
1/X
7%
12.4
X/1
15%
4.95
X/2
13%
7.74
X/X
10%
5.69
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
20.8
2/2
12%
5.09
2/X
7%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.8 — our 13% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+7.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+3.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-3.7pp
62%
BTTS Yes
63%
-1.5pp
38%
BTTS No
37%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Westerlo EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +24%
1.88/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.44
+16% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
22.7 Crosses 15.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Westerlo
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Standard Liege
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.84 xG 1.06
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
382 Passes 263
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.04.2026 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-2 HT 0-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
22.03.2026 Standard Liege Standard Liege 0-0 HT 0-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
21.09.2025 Westerlo Westerlo 0-2 HT 0-2 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
24.05.2025 Westerlo Westerlo 0-0 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
19.04.2025 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-1 HT 0-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
09.02.2025 Westerlo Westerlo 4-2 HT 2-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Westerlo
1-2
AWAY Standard Liege
1.34 xG 2.57
61% Ball Possession 39%
24 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 1
480 Passes 259
88% Pass Accuracy 73%
44 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Westerlo vs Standard Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Standard Liege squeezed past Westerlo 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Westerlo at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Westerlo had 61% of the ball to Standard Liege's 39%, shots finished 24-12, expected goals 1.34 to 2.57 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Standard Liege's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Westerlo had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Westerlo and 1.00 for Standard Liege.

What was the final score of Westerlo vs Standard Liege?

Westerlo 1-2 Standard Liege in the Belgium - Pro League on 19/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Westerlo vs Standard Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated a Westerlo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Westerlo 42%, draw 24%, Standard Liege 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Westerlo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Westerlo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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