Westerlo 0-2 Standard Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.2
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
2.83
6+ Goals
10%
8.26
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.2 — our 28% vs market 17.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.45
1/2
5%
33.5
1/X
5%
12.5
X/1
11%
4.73
X/2
13%
8.09
X/X
13%
5.43
2/1
9%
21.2
2/2
10%
5.62
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.0pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.4pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Westerlo EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -17%
2.01/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.49
+21% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
22.2 Crosses 14.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Westerlo
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Standard Liege
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.82 xG 1.23
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
336 Passes 296
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
24.05.2025 Westerlo Westerlo 0-0 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
19.04.2025 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-1 HT 0-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
09.02.2025 Westerlo Westerlo 4-2 HT 2-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
28.09.2024 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-2 HT 0-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
10.05.2024 Standard Liege Standard Liege 0-5 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
20.04.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 3-3 HT 1-1 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Westerlo
0-2
AWAY Standard Liege
1.32 xG 0.46
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
413 Passes 252
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
36 Box Touches 17
32 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Westerlo vs Standard Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Standard Liege saw off Westerlo 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Westerlo at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Westerlo had 60% of the ball to Standard Liege's 40%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.32 to 0.46 — on chances, Westerlo could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Westerlo had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Westerlo and 1.17 for Standard Liege.

What was the final score of Westerlo vs Standard Liege?

Westerlo 0-2 Standard Liege in the Belgium - Pro League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Westerlo vs Standard Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated a Westerlo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Westerlo 47%, draw 25%, Standard Liege 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Westerlo), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Westerlo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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