Genk vs Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Genk v Union Saint-Gilloise — Team-Based Signals
Genk vs Union Saint-Gilloise Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Genk 1-2 Union Saint-Gilloise — Actual Match Statistics
Union Saint-Gilloise edged past Genk 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Union Saint-Gilloise as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Genk had 64% of the ball to Union Saint-Gilloise's 36%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.10 to 0.72.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Genk and 1.67 for Union Saint-Gilloise.
What was the final score of Genk vs Union Saint-Gilloise?
Genk 1-2 Union Saint-Gilloise in the Belgium - Pro League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Genk vs Union Saint-Gilloise?
Before kick-off our model rated an Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Genk 28%, draw 23%, Union Saint-Gilloise 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.