Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 Genk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.59
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.86
2-3 Goals
37%
2.05
4-5 Goals
27%
2.6
6+ Goals
12%
5.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.96
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.75
X/1
15%
4.18
X/2
9%
10.7
X/X
8%
6.78
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
19.3
2/2
8%
7.01
2/X
7%
15.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.3 — our 11% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-6.8pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.5pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.8pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Genk EU Bookmakers 23%
-9% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -13%
1.84/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.60
-6% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
30.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
21.1 Crosses 15.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Genk
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.38 xG 1.35
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
272 Passes 307
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2024 Genk Genk 1-0 HT 1-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
03.02.2024 Genk Genk 0-1 HT 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
16.09.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 0-2 HT 0-1 Genk Genk BEL
21.05.2023 Genk Genk 1-1 HT 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
14.05.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 3-0 HT 1-0 Genk Genk BEL
12.03.2023 Genk Genk 1-2 HT 1-2 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
2-0
AWAY Genk
2.36 xG 0.37
45% Ball Possession 55%
21 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 4
287 Passes 373
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
42 Box Touches 8
17 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Saint-Gilloise saw off Genk 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Union Saint-Gilloise as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Union Saint-Gilloise had 45% of the ball to Genk's 55%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 2.36 to 0.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Union Saint-Gilloise and 0.83 for Genk.

What was the final score of Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk?

Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 Genk in the Belgium - Pro League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Union Saint-Gilloise 52%, draw 24%, Genk 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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BEL More Belgium - Pro League
26 May 2024
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