Genk vs Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Genk v Union Saint-Gilloise — Team-Based Signals
Genk vs Union Saint-Gilloise Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Genk
BEL
Genk 1-2 Union Saint-Gilloise — Actual Match Statistics
Union Saint-Gilloise squeezed past Genk 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Union Saint-Gilloise found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Genk had 66% of the ball to Union Saint-Gilloise's 34%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.99 to 2.44 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Union Saint-Gilloise's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Genk and 1.33 for Union Saint-Gilloise.
What was the final score of Genk vs Union Saint-Gilloise?
Genk 1-2 Union Saint-Gilloise in the Belgium - Pro League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Genk vs Union Saint-Gilloise?
Before kick-off our model rated a Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Genk 37%, draw 27%, Union Saint-Gilloise 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Genk) went the other way.