Gent 0-5 Club Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.48
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
55%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.3
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
29%
2.9
6+ Goals
12%
8.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
8.03
1/2
6%
20.6
1/X
5%
16.6
X/1
7%
10.6
X/2
16%
4.26
X/X
12%
6.24
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
33%
2.02
2/X
5%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
19%
+4.5pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.6pp
55%
Away Win
58%
-3.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gent EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 62%
-15% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
1.24/2.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/0.98
-61% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +0%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
257 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 81%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.2
19.6 Crosses 19.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gent
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Club Brugge
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.05 xG 2.04
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
331 Passes 386
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 Gent Gent 1-1 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
22.09.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-4 HT 0-2 Gent Gent BEL
16.01.2024 Gent Gent 0-1 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEK
17.12.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-0 HT 2-0 Gent Gent BEL
03.09.2023 Gent Gent 2-1 HT 1-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
26.02.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-0 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gent
0-5
AWAY Club Brugge
0.48 xG 4.57
38% Ball Possession 62%
3 Total Shots 20
0 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 5
292 Passes 527
83% Pass Accuracy 90%
9 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gent vs Club Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge swept aside Gent 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Club Brugge as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gent had 38% of the ball to Club Brugge's 62%, shots finished 3-20, expected goals 0.48 to 4.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Brugge led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gent and 1.50 for Club Brugge.

What was the final score of Gent vs Club Brugge?

Gent 0-5 Club Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gent vs Club Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Gent 24%, draw 22%, Club Brugge 55%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Brugge), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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