Club Brugge 2-4 Gent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 22 Sep 2024

Club Brugge
2-4 HT 0-2
Gent
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2024/2025

Club Brugge vs Gent Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.4
2-3 Goals
37%
2.0
4-5 Goals
29%
2.68
6+ Goals
12%
6.54
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.82
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.25
X/1
13%
3.92
X/2
7%
12.25
X/X
10%
6.97
2/1
8%
19.7
2/2
8%
8.48
2/X
5%
16.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 7% vs market 1.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
62%
-7.8pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.8pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+5.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.4pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Club Brugge v Gent — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Gent EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
2.02/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.71
-4% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +28%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
429 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
34.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
21.2 Crosses 11.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1

Club Brugge vs Gent Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Brugge
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Gent
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.48 xG 0.89
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
352 Passes 324
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.01.2024 Gent Gent 0-1 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEK
17.12.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-0 HT 2-0 Gent Gent BEL
03.09.2023 Gent Gent 2-1 HT 1-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
26.02.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-0 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
06.11.2022 Gent Gent 2-0 HT 2-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
17.07.2022 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-0 HT 1-0 Gent Gent BSK

Club Brugge 2-4 Gent — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Brugge
2-4
AWAY Gent
3.19 xG 1.82
69% Ball Possession 31%
27 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 2
535 Passes 187
88% Pass Accuracy 69%
36 Box Touches 16
34 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Club Brugge vs Gent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gent beat Club Brugge 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Club Brugge carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Club Brugge had 69% of the ball to Gent's 31%, shots finished 27-6, expected goals 3.19 to 1.82 — on chances, Club Brugge could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Brugge had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Club Brugge and 0.67 for Gent.

What was the final score of Club Brugge vs Gent?

Club Brugge 2-4 Gent in the Belgium - Pro League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Brugge vs Gent?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Club Brugge 55%, draw 23%, Gent 22%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Club Brugge) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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