Mechelen 2-0 Cercle Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 22 Sep 2024

Mechelen
2-0 HT 1-0
Cercle Brugge
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2024/2025

Mechelen vs Cercle Brugge Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
26%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.45
2-3 Goals
40%
2.0
4-5 Goals
26%
2.67
6+ Goals
14%
6.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.74
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
8%
12.6
X/1
15%
5.1
X/2
11%
7.1
X/X
10%
5.88
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.45
2/2
8%
4.33
2/X
5%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.45 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
46%
+6.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-4.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.2pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mechelen v Cercle Brugge — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mechelen EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +9%
1.68/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.51
+11% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
19.6 Crosses 16.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Mechelen vs Cercle Brugge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mechelen
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Cercle Brugge
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.00 xG 1.46
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 6
298 Passes 181
69% Pass Accuracy 59%
24 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.03.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-3 HT 2-2 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
28.10.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 0-2 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
23.12.2022 Mechelen Mechelen 1-1 HT 0-1 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
13.08.2022 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 0-0 HT 0-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
26.02.2022 Mechelen Mechelen 2-2 HT 2-2 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
01.12.2021 Mechelen Mechelen 2-1 HT 0-1 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEK

Mechelen 2-0 Cercle Brugge — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mechelen
2-0
AWAY Cercle Brugge
1.35 xG 0.56
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
303 Passes 215
73% Pass Accuracy 66%
14 Box Touches 19
9 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mechelen vs Cercle Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mechelen saw off Cercle Brugge 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mechelen as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mechelen had 55% of the ball to Cercle Brugge's 45%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 1.35 to 0.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mechelen had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mechelen and 1.33 for Cercle Brugge.

What was the final score of Mechelen vs Cercle Brugge?

Mechelen 2-0 Cercle Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mechelen vs Cercle Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mechelen win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Mechelen 52%, draw 23%, Cercle Brugge 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mechelen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mechelen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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