OH Leuven 1-1 Kortrijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.68
2-3 Goals
44%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
11.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.68 — our 27% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.27
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.8
X/1
18%
4.17
X/2
11%
9.09
X/X
13%
5.08
2/1
5%
23.15
2/2
9%
6.78
2/X
7%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.0pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.8pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.5pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 25%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -13%
1.77/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.37
+3% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
347 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
16.9 Crosses 16.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OH Leuven
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kortrijk
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.70 xG 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
332 Passes 282
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
27.01.2024 Kortrijk Kortrijk 0-0 HT 0-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
01.09.2023 OH Leuven OH Leuven 3-0 HT 1-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
08.01.2023 OH Leuven OH Leuven 2-3 HT 1-1 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
20.12.2022 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-3 HT 0-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEK
23.07.2022 Kortrijk Kortrijk 0-2 HT 0-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
11.12.2021 Kortrijk Kortrijk 2-1 HT 0-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OH Leuven
1-1
AWAY Kortrijk
1.26 xG 0.69
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
402 Passes 196
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
40 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH OH Leuven vs Kortrijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OH Leuven and Kortrijk shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was OH Leuven at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, OH Leuven had 63% of the ball to Kortrijk's 37%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.26 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kortrijk led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for OH Leuven and 1.33 for Kortrijk.

What was the final score of OH Leuven vs Kortrijk?

OH Leuven 1-1 Kortrijk in the Belgium - Pro League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OH Leuven vs Kortrijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a OH Leuven win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split OH Leuven 46%, draw 29%, Kortrijk 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (OH Leuven), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (OH Leuven) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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