Gent 1-1 Club Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
43%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
2.96
6+ Goals
12%
9.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.29
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
22.1
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
10%
7.61
X/2
12%
4.81
X/X
9%
5.35
2/1
9%
32.5
2/2
21%
2.61
2/X
11%
12.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.1 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-3.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.6pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gent EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 51%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -19%
1.37/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.15
+0% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +10%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.9
17.6 Crosses 20.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gent
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Club Brugge
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.90 xG 1.84
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
310 Passes 386
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-4 HT 0-2 Gent Gent BEL
16.01.2024 Gent Gent 0-1 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEK
17.12.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-0 HT 2-0 Gent Gent BEL
03.09.2023 Gent Gent 2-1 HT 1-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
26.02.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-0 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
06.11.2022 Gent Gent 2-0 HT 2-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gent
1-1
AWAY Club Brugge
2.04 xG 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
404 Passes 356
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
40 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gent vs Club Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gent and Club Brugge shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Club Brugge at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Gent had 53% of the ball to Club Brugge's 47%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 2.04 to 2.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gent and 1.33 for Club Brugge.

What was the final score of Gent vs Club Brugge?

Gent 1-1 Club Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gent vs Club Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gent 29%, draw 28%, Club Brugge 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Club Brugge), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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