St. Truidense 4-2 Kortrijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 1 Mar 2025

St. Truidense
4-2 HT 2-1
Kortrijk
📅01/03/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

St. Truidense vs Kortrijk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.41
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.28
6+ Goals
11%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.32
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
13%
13.6
X/1
22%
4.36
X/2
11%
8.81
X/X
9%
5.07
2/1
7%
23.0
2/2
9%
6.83
2/X
5%
14.95
Value flag · 1/X at 13.6 — our 13% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Truidense v Kortrijk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +3%
1.69/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.38
-18% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
354 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 73%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
22.3 Crosses 19.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

St. Truidense vs Kortrijk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Truidense
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Kortrijk
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.25 xG 1.01
47% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
353 Passes 386
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.09.2024 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-1 HT 0-1 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
09.02.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-0 HT 1-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
06.08.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 0-1 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
04.02.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-0 HT 1-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
06.08.2022 Kortrijk Kortrijk 0-0 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
05.02.2022 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-3 HT 0-2 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
POST-MATCH St. Truidense vs Kortrijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Truidense beat Kortrijk 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had St. Truidense as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Truidense had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for St. Truidense and 0.33 for Kortrijk.

What was the final score of St. Truidense vs Kortrijk?

St. Truidense 4-2 Kortrijk in the Belgium - Pro League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Truidense vs Kortrijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Truidense win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split St. Truidense 47%, draw 27%, Kortrijk 26%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Truidense), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Truidense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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