Kortrijk 1-1 St. Truidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 1 Sep 2024

Kortrijk
1-1 HT 0-1
St. Truidense
📅01/09/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2025/2026

Kortrijk vs St. Truidense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.16
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.7
6+ Goals
8%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 30% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.8
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
17%
4.52
X/2
12%
7.15
X/X
11%
4.51
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
14%
5.33
2/X
6%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.5pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.0pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kortrijk v St. Truidense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
1.63/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.72
-9% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
23.5 Crosses 11.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4

Kortrijk vs St. Truidense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kortrijk
1W-1D-4L
AWAY St. Truidense
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.96 xG 1.36
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
360 Passes 350
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.02.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-0 HT 1-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
06.08.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 0-1 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
04.02.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-0 HT 1-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
06.08.2022 Kortrijk Kortrijk 0-0 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
05.02.2022 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-3 HT 0-2 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
21.08.2021 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-2 HT 0-1 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
POST-MATCH Kortrijk vs St. Truidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kortrijk and St. Truidense shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kortrijk at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Truidense led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kortrijk and 1.00 for St. Truidense.

What was the final score of Kortrijk vs St. Truidense?

Kortrijk 1-1 St. Truidense in the Belgium - Pro League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kortrijk vs St. Truidense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kortrijk win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kortrijk 44%, draw 23%, St. Truidense 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kortrijk), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kortrijk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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