Gent 1-1 Royal Antwerp — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 1 Sep 2024

Gent
1-1 HT 1-1
Royal Antwerp
📅01/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2024/2025

Gent vs Royal Antwerp Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
30%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.99
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.12
6+ Goals
11%
10.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.99 — our 29% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.52
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
8%
12.65
X/1 EV+ ✗
19%
5.62
X/2
10%
5.76
X/X
11%
5.02
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
12%
3.65
2/X
9%
12.65
Value flag · X/1 at 5.62 — our 19% vs market 13.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+4.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-6.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.1pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gent v Royal Antwerp — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gent EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Royal Antwerp EU Bookmakers 39%
-9% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.60/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.27
-4% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 74%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
21.3 Crosses 14.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Gent vs Royal Antwerp Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gent
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Royal Antwerp
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.35 xG 1.26
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
325 Passes 349
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.02.2024 Gent Gent 2-2 HT 2-1 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
27.09.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 0-0 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
07.01.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 2-0 HT 1-0 Gent Gent BEL
28.08.2022 Gent Gent 1-2 HT 1-2 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
30.01.2022 Gent Gent 0-1 HT 0-1 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
03.10.2021 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 1-0 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL

Gent 1-1 Royal Antwerp — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gent
1-1
AWAY Royal Antwerp
2.29 xG 0.85
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 5
316 Passes 340
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gent vs Royal Antwerp
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gent and Royal Antwerp couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gent at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Gent had 49% of the ball to Royal Antwerp's 51%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 2.29 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Royal Antwerp led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gent and 1.33 for Royal Antwerp.

What was the final score of Gent vs Royal Antwerp?

Gent 1-1 Royal Antwerp in the Belgium - Pro League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gent vs Royal Antwerp?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gent win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gent 43%, draw 27%, Royal Antwerp 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gent) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gent) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL More Belgium - Pro League
1 Sep 2024
14:30 Club Brugge vs Cercle Brugge Analysis →
19:30 Union Saint-Gilloise vs Anderlecht Analysis →
20:15 Kortrijk vs St. Truidense Analysis →