Club Brugge 3-0 Cercle Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
19%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.43
Over 2.5
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.3
2-3 Goals
42%
1.98
4-5 Goals
25%
2.69
6+ Goals
10%
6.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.93
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.0
X/1
22%
4.07
X/2
6%
11.1
X/X
10%
6.53
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
19.9
2/2
8%
7.59
2/X
7%
15.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.9 — our 7% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
59%
-2.5pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.9pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+0.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.9pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -12%
1.95/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.75
-6% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
33.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
21.4 Crosses 16.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Brugge
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Cercle Brugge
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.86 xG 1.25
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
363 Passes 136
74% Pass Accuracy 55%
30 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 0-0 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
01.04.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-1 HT 1-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
18.02.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-1 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
12.11.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 0-0 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
19.02.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-2 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
02.09.2022 Club Brugge Club Brugge 4-0 HT 1-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Brugge
3-0
AWAY Cercle Brugge
3.39 xG 0.78
72% Ball Possession 28%
21 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
491 Passes 146
84% Pass Accuracy 64%
53 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Club Brugge vs Cercle Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge cruised past Cercle Brugge 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Club Brugge as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Club Brugge had 72% of the ball to Cercle Brugge's 28%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 3.39 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Brugge had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Club Brugge and 0.67 for Cercle Brugge.

What was the final score of Club Brugge vs Cercle Brugge?

Club Brugge 3-0 Cercle Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Brugge vs Cercle Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Club Brugge 57%, draw 24%, Cercle Brugge 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Brugge), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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