Cercle Brugge 1-1 Club Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
44%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.97
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.07
6+ Goals
12%
9.96
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.97 — our 26% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.03
1/2
8%
21.6
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
13%
7.31
X/2
16%
4.45
X/X
9%
5.5
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
20%
2.54
2/X
7%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+6.2pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.7pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-4.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 53%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.29/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.04
-9% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
248 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 77%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
21.5 Crosses 22.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cercle Brugge
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Club Brugge
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.36 xG 1.65
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
170 Passes 352
58% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 0-0 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
19.02.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-2 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
02.09.2022 Club Brugge Club Brugge 4-0 HT 1-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
26.12.2021 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-0 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
06.08.2021 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-1 HT 1-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
28.01.2021 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-2 HT 1-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cercle Brugge
1-1
AWAY Club Brugge
0.41 xG 1.62
28% Ball Possession 72%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 4
118 Passes 450
50% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 38
6 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cercle Brugge vs Club Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cercle Brugge and Club Brugge shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Club Brugge at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cercle Brugge had 28% of the ball to Club Brugge's 72%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.41 to 1.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Brugge led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cercle Brugge and 1.50 for Club Brugge.

What was the final score of Cercle Brugge vs Club Brugge?

Cercle Brugge 1-1 Club Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cercle Brugge vs Club Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cercle Brugge 33%, draw 22%, Club Brugge 44%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✗ Over 2.5
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