Kortrijk 1-3 Union Saint-Gilloise — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.91
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
54%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.38
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
2.9
6+ Goals
11%
8.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
10.65
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
21.0
1/X
7%
18.9
X/1
8%
13.85
X/2
23%
3.55
X/X
11%
6.74
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
22%
1.69
2/X
6%
18.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.0 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
14%
+8.2pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.2pp
54%
Away Win
66%
-12.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 70%
+10% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +17%
1.38/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.16/1.10
+17% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / -33%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
245 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 74%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.4
14.8 Crosses 16.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kortrijk
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.77 xG 2.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
291 Passes 376
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 29
10 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 3-0 HT 2-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
23.04.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 2-4 HT 2-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
13.08.2022 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 HT 1-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
05.03.2022 Kortrijk Kortrijk 2-3 HT 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
14.08.2021 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 HT 1-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
18.12.2019 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 0-1 HT 0-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kortrijk
1-3
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Kortrijk vs Union Saint-Gilloise
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Saint-Gilloise beat Kortrijk 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Union Saint-Gilloise as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kortrijk had 45% of the ball to Union Saint-Gilloise's 55%, shots finished 6-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kortrijk and 2.33 for Union Saint-Gilloise.

What was the final score of Kortrijk vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Kortrijk 1-3 Union Saint-Gilloise in the Belgium - Pro League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kortrijk vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Kortrijk 22%, draw 24%, Union Saint-Gilloise 54%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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