Anderlecht 4-1 St. Truidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.44
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.39
6+ Goals
11%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 27% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.26
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
10%
14.05
X/1
21%
4.05
X/2
12%
8.81
X/X
10%
4.95
2/1
8%
23.3
2/2
9%
6.74
2/X
4%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.5pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 25%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.99/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.65
-4% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
344 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 72%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
20.6 Crosses 13.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anderlecht
5W-1D-0L
AWAY St. Truidense
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.91 xG 1.10
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
422 Passes 346
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-1 HT 0-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
12.02.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3-1 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
14.08.2022 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-3 HT 0-2 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
14.12.2021 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-0 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
17.10.2021 St. Truidense St. Truidense 2-2 HT 0-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
18.04.2021 St. Truidense St. Truidense 0-1 HT 0-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
POST-MATCH Anderlecht vs St. Truidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anderlecht ran out comfortable winners over St. Truidense 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Anderlecht as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Anderlecht had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Anderlecht and 0.50 for St. Truidense.

What was the final score of Anderlecht vs St. Truidense?

Anderlecht 4-1 St. Truidense in the Belgium - Pro League on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anderlecht vs St. Truidense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Anderlecht win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Anderlecht 50%, draw 25%, St. Truidense 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Anderlecht) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Anderlecht) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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