Cercle Brugge 1-1 Club Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 1 Apr 2024

Cercle Brugge
1-1 HT 1-0
Club Brugge
📅01/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2023/2024

Cercle Brugge vs Club Brugge Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.8
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.22
6+ Goals
12%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.8 — our 27% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.0
1/2
8%
23.6
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
15%
7.19
X/2
12%
4.7
X/X
11%
4.96
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
18%
2.75
2/X
7%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
29%
+9.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-7.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.3pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cercle Brugge v Club Brugge — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 49%
-11% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -18%
1.17/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.18
-30% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 76%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
20.0 Crosses 21.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Cercle Brugge vs Club Brugge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cercle Brugge
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Club Brugge
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.28 xG 1.67
36% Ball Possession 64%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
147 Passes 342
55% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.02.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-1 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
12.11.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 0-0 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
19.02.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-2 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
02.09.2022 Club Brugge Club Brugge 4-0 HT 1-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
26.12.2021 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-0 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
06.08.2021 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-1 HT 1-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL

Cercle Brugge 1-1 Club Brugge — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cercle Brugge
1-1
AWAY Club Brugge
1.59 xG 3.69
32% Ball Possession 68%
10 Total Shots 28
4 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 8
142 Passes 382
61% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 49
11 Crosses 27
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cercle Brugge vs Club Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cercle Brugge and Club Brugge couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Cercle Brugge had 32% of the ball to Club Brugge's 68%, shots finished 10-28, expected goals 1.59 to 3.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cercle Brugge and 1.33 for Club Brugge.

What was the final score of Cercle Brugge vs Club Brugge?

Cercle Brugge 1-1 Club Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cercle Brugge vs Club Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cercle Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cercle Brugge 38%, draw 24%, Club Brugge 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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