Genk vs Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Genk v Union Saint-Gilloise — Team-Based Signals
Genk vs Union Saint-Gilloise Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Genk
BEL
1-1
HT 1-1
Union Saint-Gilloise
BEL
Genk 2-1 Union Saint-Gilloise — Actual Match Statistics
Genk edged past Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Genk made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Genk had 55% of the ball to Union Saint-Gilloise's 45%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 2.70 to 0.97 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Genk's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Genk and 1.33 for Union Saint-Gilloise.
What was the final score of Genk vs Union Saint-Gilloise?
Genk 2-1 Union Saint-Gilloise in the Belgium - Pro League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Genk vs Union Saint-Gilloise?
Before kick-off our model rated an Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Genk 36%, draw 27%, Union Saint-Gilloise 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.