Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Union Saint-Gilloise v Genk — Team-Based Signals
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Genk
BEL
1-1
HT 1-1
Union Saint-Gilloise
BEL
3-0
HT 1-0
Genk
BEL
Union Saint-Gilloise 4-0 Genk — Actual Match Statistics
Union Saint-Gilloise cruised past Genk 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Union Saint-Gilloise found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Union Saint-Gilloise had 29% of the ball to Genk's 71%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 2.28 to 0.75.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Union Saint-Gilloise and 0.67 for Genk.
What was the final score of Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk?
Union Saint-Gilloise 4-0 Genk in the Belgium - Pro League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk?
Before kick-off our model rated a Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Union Saint-Gilloise 40%, draw 30%, Genk 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.