Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Union Saint-Gilloise v Genk — Team-Based Signals
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Union Saint-Gilloise 1-0 Genk — Actual Match Statistics
Union Saint-Gilloise squeezed past Genk 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Union Saint-Gilloise as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Union Saint-Gilloise had 47% of the ball to Genk's 53%, shots finished 11-3, expected goals 1.66 to 0.77.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Union Saint-Gilloise and 0.67 for Genk.
What was the final score of Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk?
Union Saint-Gilloise 1-0 Genk in the Belgium - Pro League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Genk?
Before kick-off our model rated a Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Union Saint-Gilloise 44%, draw 28%, Genk 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.