Cercle Brugge 0-2 Kortrijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.07
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.67
6+ Goals
11%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 29% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.49
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
10%
13.85
X/1
14%
4.43
X/2
14%
8.45
X/X
12%
4.73
2/1
6%
25.0
2/2
8%
6.74
2/X
4%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-6.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+6.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +5%
1.73/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.38
-4% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
296 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 73%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
18.3 Crosses 18.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cercle Brugge
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Kortrijk
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.93 xG 0.92
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
257 Passes 157
64% Pass Accuracy 52%
40 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.03.2025 Kortrijk Kortrijk 2-2 HT 1-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
23.02.2025 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-1 HT 1-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
04.08.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-2 HT 1-1 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
20.12.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 3-0 HT 1-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
29.09.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 2-1 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
01.04.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-0 HT 2-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cercle Brugge
0-2
AWAY Kortrijk
0.99 xG 1.01
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
201 Passes 156
64% Pass Accuracy 58%
29 Box Touches 10
31 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Cercle Brugge vs Kortrijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kortrijk saw off Cercle Brugge 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Cercle Brugge at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Cercle Brugge had 55% of the ball to Kortrijk's 45%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 0.99 to 1.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cercle Brugge and 1.17 for Kortrijk.

What was the final score of Cercle Brugge vs Kortrijk?

Cercle Brugge 0-2 Kortrijk in the Belgium - Pro League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cercle Brugge vs Kortrijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cercle Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cercle Brugge 44%, draw 26%, Kortrijk 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cercle Brugge) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cercle Brugge) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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