Kortrijk 2-2 Cercle Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.66
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.24
6+ Goals
8%
21.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 33% vs market 31.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.7
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
13%
5.43
X/2
15%
6.07
X/X
11%
4.03
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
15%
4.4
2/X
7%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.4pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.9pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.5pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 36%
-8% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +5%
1.52/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.45
-7% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
341 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 71%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
25.2 Crosses 16.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kortrijk
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cercle Brugge
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.04 xG 2.10
46% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
175 Passes 239
55% Pass Accuracy 62%
17 Box Touches 40
13 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2025 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-1 HT 1-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
04.08.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-2 HT 1-1 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
20.12.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 3-0 HT 1-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
29.09.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 2-1 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
01.04.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-0 HT 2-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
29.10.2022 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-1 HT 0-1 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kortrijk
2-2
AWAY Cercle Brugge
0.25 xG 1.27
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
129 Passes 258
50% Pass Accuracy 66%
11 Box Touches 33
11 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kortrijk vs Cercle Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kortrijk and Cercle Brugge shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kortrijk had 40% of the ball to Cercle Brugge's 60%, shots finished 5-13, expected goals 0.25 to 1.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kortrijk and 1.50 for Cercle Brugge.

What was the final score of Kortrijk vs Cercle Brugge?

Kortrijk 2-2 Cercle Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kortrijk vs Cercle Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kortrijk win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kortrijk 39%, draw 25%, Cercle Brugge 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kortrijk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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