Dender EH 1-0 Westerlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
4.11
2-3 Goals
43%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
2.97
6+ Goals
9%
9.06
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.11 — our 25% vs market 19.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.27
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
13%
5.58
X/2
16%
6.48
X/X
8%
5.28
2/1
7%
24.2
2/2
14%
4.12
2/X
10%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-2.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.9pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dender EH EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Westerlo EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +19%
0.88/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.69
+27% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
18.4 Crosses 17.5
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dender EH
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Westerlo
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.08 xG 1.88
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
286 Passes 334
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 34
20 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 Dender EH Dender EH 1-0 HT 1-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
01.11.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 2-0 HT 1-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
21.03.2009 Westerlo Westerlo 3-1 HT 1-1 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
01.11.2008 Dender EH Dender EH 2-2 HT 0-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
23.02.2008 Dender EH Dender EH 2-0 HT 1-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
25.11.2007 Dender EH Dender EH 4-1 HT 1-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dender EH
1-0
AWAY Westerlo
1.39 xG 0.97
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 8
344 Passes 293
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
35 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dender EH vs Westerlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dender EH nicked a narrow win over Westerlo 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Dender EH found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Dender EH had 54% of the ball to Westerlo's 46%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 1.39 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dender EH had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dender EH and 1.33 for Westerlo.

What was the final score of Dender EH vs Westerlo?

Dender EH 1-0 Westerlo in the Belgium - Pro League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dender EH vs Westerlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dender EH win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dender EH 39%, draw 26%, Westerlo 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dender EH), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dender EH) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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