Dender EH 1-0 Westerlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
42%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.25
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
3.05
6+ Goals
14%
9.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.35
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
28.5
1/X
9%
13.7
X/1
13%
7.0
X/2
14%
6.24
X/X
9%
5.53
2/1
5%
31.5
2/2
21%
3.68
2/X
5%
13.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.5 — our 7% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.3pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.7pp
42%
Away Win
38%
+3.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.5pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dender EH EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Westerlo EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.01/2.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.75
+109% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
17.7 Crosses 18.7
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dender EH
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Westerlo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.35 xG 2.95
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
286 Passes 268
71% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 26
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.11.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 2-0 HT 1-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
21.03.2009 Westerlo Westerlo 3-1 HT 1-1 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
01.11.2008 Dender EH Dender EH 2-2 HT 0-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
23.02.2008 Dender EH Dender EH 2-0 HT 1-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
25.11.2007 Dender EH Dender EH 4-1 HT 1-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEK
15.09.2007 Westerlo Westerlo 0-0 HT 0-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dender EH
1-0
AWAY Westerlo
0.81 xG 0.80
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
285 Passes 400
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 43
19 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dender EH vs Westerlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dender EH edged past Westerlo 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Westerlo at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dender EH had 43% of the ball to Westerlo's 57%, shots finished 5-15, expected goals 0.81 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dender EH and 1.33 for Westerlo.

What was the final score of Dender EH vs Westerlo?

Dender EH 1-0 Westerlo in the Belgium - Pro League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dender EH vs Westerlo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Westerlo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dender EH 35%, draw 23%, Westerlo 42%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Westerlo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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