Royal Antwerp 1-3 Sporting Charleroi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 8 Dec 2024

Royal Antwerp
1-3 HT 0-1
Sporting Charleroi
📅08/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2024/2025

Royal Antwerp vs Sporting Charleroi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.47
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.5
6+ Goals
11%
13.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.75
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
11%
15.85
X/1
12%
4.76
X/2
11%
8.94
X/X
9%
5.53
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
27.5
2/2
8%
6.67
2/X
5%
16.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-2.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.0pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+2.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Royal Antwerp v Sporting Charleroi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Royal Antwerp EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.97/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.60
+3% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
370 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
18.1 Crosses 13.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.4

Royal Antwerp vs Sporting Charleroi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Royal Antwerp
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.93 xG 1.14
60% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
510 Passes 305
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.07.2024 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 0-1 HT 0-1 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
21.01.2024 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 4-1 HT 2-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
06.12.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 5-2 HT 1-2 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEK
21.10.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 3-2 HT 0-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
19.03.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 0-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
30.10.2022 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-0 HT 1-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL

Royal Antwerp 1-3 Sporting Charleroi — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Royal Antwerp
1-3
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
1.91 xG 3.49
57% Ball Possession 43%
24 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
483 Passes 346
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
32 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Royal Antwerp vs Sporting Charleroi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Charleroi saw off Royal Antwerp 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Royal Antwerp at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Royal Antwerp had 57% of the ball to Sporting Charleroi's 43%, shots finished 24-17, expected goals 1.91 to 3.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Royal Antwerp and 1.33 for Sporting Charleroi.

What was the final score of Royal Antwerp vs Sporting Charleroi?

Royal Antwerp 1-3 Sporting Charleroi in the Belgium - Pro League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Royal Antwerp vs Sporting Charleroi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Royal Antwerp win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Royal Antwerp 48%, draw 25%, Sporting Charleroi 27%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Royal Antwerp) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Royal Antwerp) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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