Sporting Charleroi 0-1 Royal Antwerp — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.84
6+ Goals
11%
16.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 30% vs market 27.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.16
1/2
11%
26.0
1/X
7%
14.05
X/1
10%
6.83
X/2
17%
4.5
X/X
13%
4.48
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
13%
2.88
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+3.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-3.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.2pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Royal Antwerp EU Bookmakers 49%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -10%
1.38/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.19
+11% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +10%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 79%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
15.4 Crosses 19.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Charleroi
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Royal Antwerp
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.21 xG 2.21
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
313 Passes 496
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 34
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.01.2024 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 4-1 HT 2-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
06.12.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 5-2 HT 1-2 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEK
21.10.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 3-2 HT 0-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
19.03.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 0-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
30.10.2022 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-0 HT 1-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
16.01.2022 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 3-0 HT 2-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Charleroi
0-1
AWAY Royal Antwerp
0.78 xG 1.81
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
373 Passes 391
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting Charleroi vs Royal Antwerp
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Royal Antwerp nicked a narrow win over Sporting Charleroi 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Royal Antwerp as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Sporting Charleroi had 50% of the ball to Royal Antwerp's 50%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.78 to 1.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sporting Charleroi and 2.33 for Royal Antwerp.

What was the final score of Sporting Charleroi vs Royal Antwerp?

Sporting Charleroi 0-1 Royal Antwerp in the Belgium - Pro League on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Charleroi vs Royal Antwerp?

Before kick-off our model rated an Royal Antwerp win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sporting Charleroi 32%, draw 27%, Royal Antwerp 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Royal Antwerp), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Royal Antwerp) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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