Royal Antwerp 4-1 Sporting Charleroi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 21 Jan 2024

Royal Antwerp
4-1 HT 2-0
Sporting Charleroi
📅21/01/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2023/2024

Royal Antwerp vs Sporting Charleroi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.29
Over 2.5
47%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.51
2-3 Goals
41%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
2.88
6+ Goals
10%
8.29
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.51 — our 27% vs market 17.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.87
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
15.65
X/1
19%
3.86
X/2
8%
11.7
X/X
10%
6.19
2/1
8%
20.9
2/2
6%
8.57
2/X
8%
16.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.1pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.5pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+2.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
40%
+13.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
60%
-13.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-10.3pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Royal Antwerp v Sporting Charleroi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Royal Antwerp EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +0%
1.98/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.25
+7% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
19.0 Crosses 14.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Royal Antwerp vs Sporting Charleroi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Royal Antwerp
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.90 xG 1.41
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
443 Passes 324
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.12.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 5-2 HT 1-2 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEK
21.10.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 3-2 HT 0-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
19.03.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 0-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
30.10.2022 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-0 HT 1-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
16.01.2022 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 3-0 HT 2-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
13.08.2021 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-1 HT 0-1 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL

Royal Antwerp 4-1 Sporting Charleroi — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Royal Antwerp
4-1
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
2.40 xG 0.75
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
645 Passes 366
91% Pass Accuracy 86%
31 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Royal Antwerp vs Sporting Charleroi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Royal Antwerp swept aside Sporting Charleroi 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Royal Antwerp as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Royal Antwerp had 61% of the ball to Sporting Charleroi's 39%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 2.40 to 0.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Charleroi led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Royal Antwerp and 1.33 for Sporting Charleroi.

What was the final score of Royal Antwerp vs Sporting Charleroi?

Royal Antwerp 4-1 Sporting Charleroi in the Belgium - Pro League on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Royal Antwerp vs Sporting Charleroi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Royal Antwerp win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Royal Antwerp 56%, draw 24%, Sporting Charleroi 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Royal Antwerp) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Royal Antwerp) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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