OH Leuven 1-1 Anderlecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.75
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
42%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.63
No
39%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.26
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
29%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
9.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
7.36
1/2
7%
20.5
1/X
7%
14.7
X/1 EV+ ✗
13%
10.6
X/2
14%
4.13
X/X
9%
6.04
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
21%
1.99
2/X
9%
14.2
Value flag · X/1 at 10.6 — our 13% vs market 6.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
23%
+10.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
42%
Away Win
52%
-10.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
57%
+3.8pp
39%
BTTS No
43%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 56%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +1%
1.43/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.22
-15% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 79%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.5
14.6 Crosses 18.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OH Leuven
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Anderlecht
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.24 xG 1.85
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
299 Passes 430
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 34
13 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 5-1 HT 2-1 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
19.03.2023 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-2 HT 0-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
04.09.2022 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-2 HT 0-1 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
26.02.2022 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-0 HT 0-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
31.10.2021 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-2 HT 1-2 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
10.01.2021 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-0 HT 0-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OH Leuven
1-1
AWAY Anderlecht
0.80 xG 0.76
28% Ball Possession 72%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
149 Passes 566
63% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Box Touches 32
17 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH OH Leuven vs Anderlecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OH Leuven and Anderlecht couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Anderlecht at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, OH Leuven had 28% of the ball to Anderlecht's 72%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.80 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Anderlecht led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for OH Leuven and 1.83 for Anderlecht.

What was the final score of OH Leuven vs Anderlecht?

OH Leuven 1-1 Anderlecht in the Belgium - Pro League on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OH Leuven vs Anderlecht?

Before kick-off our model rated an Anderlecht win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split OH Leuven 34%, draw 24%, Anderlecht 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Anderlecht), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Anderlecht) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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