Westerlo 3-0 Cercle Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.07
Over 2.5
61%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.0
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.11
6+ Goals
15%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.29
1/2 EV+ ✗
13%
24.45
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
10%
6.53
X/2
12%
5.17
X/X
11%
4.95
2/1
9%
30.0
2/2
14%
3.08
2/X
6%
12.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.45 — our 13% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.0pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
44%
-5.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
56%
+5.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.4pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Westerlo EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.67/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.40
+65% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.9
16.0 Crosses 16.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Westerlo
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Cercle Brugge
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.57 xG 1.58
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
288 Passes 225
69% Pass Accuracy 63%
15 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.01.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 4-2 HT 4-1 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
02.09.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-1 HT 1-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
03.06.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 2-0 HT 0-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
07.05.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 3-5 HT 1-4 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
07.01.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 0-1 HT 0-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
24.07.2022 Westerlo Westerlo 2-0 HT 1-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Westerlo
3-0
AWAY Cercle Brugge
2.17 xG 0.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
219 Passes 238
64% Pass Accuracy 65%
22 Box Touches 38
12 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Westerlo vs Cercle Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Westerlo swept aside Cercle Brugge 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 24% / 39% — and on the day Westerlo made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

On the day, Westerlo had 48% of the ball to Cercle Brugge's 52%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 2.17 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Westerlo and 1.83 for Cercle Brugge.

What was the final score of Westerlo vs Cercle Brugge?

Westerlo 3-0 Cercle Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Westerlo vs Cercle Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cercle Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Westerlo 37%, draw 24%, Cercle Brugge 39%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Cercle Brugge), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cercle Brugge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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