Kortrijk 0-1 Gent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
48%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.53
2-3 Goals
46%
1.9
4-5 Goals
22%
2.9
6+ Goals
11%
8.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.76
1/2
8%
21.45
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1 EV+ ✗
14%
8.47
X/2
13%
4.47
X/X
6%
5.55
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
28%
2.37
2/X
9%
13.2
Value flag · X/1 at 8.47 — our 14% vs market 8.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+4.0pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.8pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-2.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.4pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Gent EU Bookmakers 55%
+0% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +23%
1.37/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.44
-23% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 77%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
16.3 Crosses 16.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kortrijk
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Gent
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.99 xG 2.01
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
240 Passes 453
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 36
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2023 Kortrijk Kortrijk 0-2 HT 0-1 Gent Gent BEL
30.07.2023 Gent Gent 3-2 HT 2-1 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
15.01.2023 Gent Gent 2-1 HT 1-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
13.11.2022 Kortrijk Kortrijk 0-4 HT 0-2 Gent Gent BEL
14.01.2022 Gent Gent 2-2 HT 1-1 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
19.09.2021 Kortrijk Kortrijk 1-0 HT 1-0 Gent Gent BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kortrijk
0-1
AWAY Gent
1.18 xG 0.70
35% Ball Possession 65%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
192 Passes 446
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 21
31 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kortrijk vs Gent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gent nicked a narrow win over Kortrijk 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gent as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Kortrijk had 35% of the ball to Gent's 65%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.18 to 0.70 — the balance of chances actually favoured Kortrijk.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gent led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kortrijk and 2.17 for Gent.

What was the final score of Kortrijk vs Gent?

Kortrijk 0-1 Gent in the Belgium - Pro League on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kortrijk vs Gent?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gent win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kortrijk 29%, draw 22%, Gent 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gent) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gent) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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