Anderlecht 2-1 Beerschot VA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.32
Draw
24%
4.81
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.94
2-3 Goals
39%
1.96
4-5 Goals
26%
2.83
6+ Goals
11%
7.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.67
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
25.0
X/1
19%
3.97
X/2
5%
21.45
X/X
12%
8.98
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
25.5
2/2
9%
16.4
2/X
5%
25.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 11% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
71%
-15.3pp
24%
Draw
18%
+6.8pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+8.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Beerschot VA EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -14%
2.16/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/2.32
+1% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
399 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
34.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
22.3 Crosses 13.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anderlecht
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Beerschot VA
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.90 xG 0.99
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
505 Passes 250
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
35 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
18.10.2024 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 2-1 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
27.12.2021 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 0-7 HT 0-3 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
24.10.2021 Anderlecht Anderlecht 4-2 HT 1-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
27.12.2020 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-0 HT 1-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL
22.11.2020 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 2-1 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
25.09.2019 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 2-2 HT 1-1 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEK
POST-MATCH Anderlecht vs Beerschot VA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anderlecht squeezed past Beerschot VA 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Anderlecht as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Anderlecht had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Anderlecht and 1.33 for Beerschot VA.

What was the final score of Anderlecht vs Beerschot VA?

Anderlecht 2-1 Beerschot VA in the Belgium - Pro League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anderlecht vs Beerschot VA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Anderlecht win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Anderlecht 56%, draw 24%, Beerschot VA 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Anderlecht), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Anderlecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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