Genk 4-0 Gent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 30 Mar 2025

Genk
4-0 HT 1-0
Gent
📅30/03/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2024/2025

Genk vs Gent Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.55
2-3 Goals
42%
1.91
4-5 Goals
26%
2.82
6+ Goals
12%
7.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.9
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
15.2
X/1 EV+ ✗
26%
4.24
X/2
10%
11.75
X/X
6%
6.49
2/1
6%
20.4
2/2
6%
8.93
2/X
8%
17.05
Value flag · X/1 at 4.24 — our 26% vs market 18.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
61%
-3.5pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.7pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Genk v Gent — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genk EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Gent EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +21%
2.17/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.93
+5% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +28%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
401 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
17.7 Crosses 15.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3

Genk vs Gent Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genk
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Gent
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.66 xG 1.22
49% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
332 Passes 328
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.02.2025 Genk Genk 0-0 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
27.10.2024 Gent Gent 0-2 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
02.06.2024 Genk Genk 0-1 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
03.12.2023 Genk Genk 2-2 HT 1-1 Gent Gent BEL
08.10.2023 Gent Gent 1-1 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
05.02.2023 Gent Gent 2-3 HT 1-1 Genk Genk BEL

Genk 4-0 Gent — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genk
4-0
AWAY Gent
3.40 xG 0.68
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
360 Passes 332
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
33 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Genk vs Gent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genk swept aside Gent 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Genk as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Genk had 51% of the ball to Gent's 49%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 3.40 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Genk and 1.00 for Gent.

What was the final score of Genk vs Gent?

Genk 4-0 Gent in the Belgium - Pro League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genk vs Gent?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Genk 58%, draw 21%, Gent 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genk), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Genk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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