Gent 0-2 Genk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 27 Oct 2024

Gent
0-2 HT 0-0
Genk
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.37
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.95
6+ Goals
15%
8.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.01
1/2
7%
24.45
1/X
7%
12.45
X/1
12%
6.37
X/2
9%
5.37
X/X
10%
5.17
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
28.0
2/2
23%
3.16
2/X
6%
12.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 8% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.6pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.9pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gent EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Genk EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +8%
1.62/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.43
+0% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
351 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 83%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.4
17.7 Crosses 17.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gent
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Genk
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.26 xG 1.42
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
347 Passes 310
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.06.2024 Genk Genk 0-1 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
03.12.2023 Genk Genk 2-2 HT 1-1 Gent Gent BEL
08.10.2023 Gent Gent 1-1 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
05.02.2023 Gent Gent 2-3 HT 1-1 Genk Genk BEL
18.09.2022 Genk Genk 1-0 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
15.05.2022 Genk Genk 0-2 HT 0-1 Gent Gent BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gent
0-2
AWAY Genk
0.49 xG 2.48
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 17
0 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
318 Passes 474
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 28
23 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gent vs Genk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genk saw off Gent 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; Genk found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gent had 41% of the ball to Genk's 59%, shots finished 5-17, expected goals 0.49 to 2.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gent and 1.17 for Genk.

What was the final score of Gent vs Genk?

Gent 0-2 Genk in the Belgium - Pro League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gent vs Genk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gent win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gent 38%, draw 23%, Genk 38%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/23/38) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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