Pempininkai Gargzdai 1-1 Minija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - Cup, 19 May 2026

📅19/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
12.23
Draw
14%
8.78
Away
72%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.9
No
44%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
24%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
44%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
5%
+8.9pp
14%
Draw
8%
+6.6pp
72%
Away Win
88%
-15.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.4pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pempininkai Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Minija EU Bookmakers 94%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
218 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pempininkai Gargzdai
1-1
AWAY Minija
27% Ball Possession 73%
4 Total Shots 34
3 Shots on Target 17
1 Corners 13
POST-MATCH Pempininkai Gargzdai vs Minija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pempininkai Gargzdai and Minija shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Minija at 72% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Pempininkai Gargzdai had 27% of the ball to Minija's 73%, shots finished 4-34.

What was the final score of Pempininkai Gargzdai vs Minija?

Pempininkai Gargzdai 1-1 Minija in the Lithuania - Cup on 19/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pempininkai Gargzdai vs Minija?

Before kick-off our model rated an Minija win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Pempininkai Gargzdai 13%, draw 14%, Minija 72%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Minija), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Minija) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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